STUDY: COVID-19 Highest Risk Elderly Adjusted Death Rate Dropped 18.2% On Average March To August Among 5,121 Hospitalizations
- November 19, 2020
- Posted by: Craig Chamberlin
- Category: Social Media
As the media continues the fear-mongering and panic porn to shut-down America, it’s always a good idea to bypass the mainstream media and go straight into the studies that look into any claims without relying on 3rd party analysis.
A recent study published October 23rd 2020 by the Journal Hospital of Medicine showed an 18.2% average (12.0% – 24.4%) drop in the adjusted mortality rate for highest risk elderly hospice patience between March and August of 2020. This study included 5,121 hospitalizations and took demographic data into consideration. Take a look at their results:
“We included 5,121 hospitalizations, of which 5,118 (99.94%) had known outcomes (death or hospital discharge). Peak hospitalizations occurred in late March to mid-April, which accounted for 53% of the hospitalizations. Median length of stay for patients who died or were discharged to hospice was 8 days (interquartile range, 4-15; max 140 days).
The median age and the proportion male or with any comorbidity decreased over time. For instance, the proportion with any chronic condition decreased from 81% in March to 72% in August.
Adjusted mortality dropped each month, from 25.6% in March to 7.6% in August. The SMR declined progressively over time, from 1.26 (95% CI, 1.15-1.39) in March to 0.38 (95% CI, 0.12-0.88) in August.
The adjusted average marginal effect was also significantly lower than in March in every subsequent month, reaching a maximum of an average 18.2 (95% CI, 12.0-24.4) percentage point decrease in probability of death in August, accounting for changes in demographics and clinical severity.
The decrease in unadjusted mortality over time was observed across age groups. Results of the two sensitivity analyses were similar, though attenuated in the case of the sepsis/respiratory cohort, with adjusted mortality falling from 31.4% to 14.4%, SMR decreasing from 1.28 (95% CI, 1.16-1.41) to 0.59 (95% CI, 0.16-1.50), and AME in August 17.0 percentage points (95% CI, 6.0-28.1).Trends in COVID-19 Risk-Adjusted Mortality Rates (Source)
Here is the conclusion drawn from the study:
In summary, data from one health system suggest that COVID-19 remains a serious disease for high-risk patients, but that mortality rates are improving over time.Trends in COVID-19 Risk-Adjusted Mortality Rates (Source)
The reader is encouraged to read the study in its entirety. There are significantly more data points worth studying and consideration within the study. After struggling to navigate a media that’s consistently lied to the American people for 4 years, now is a good time to carry healthy skepticism.